Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 44.4% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 11.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from home.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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