Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 57.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Nembhard slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 28.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league while playing at home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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