Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 41.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.0% more than he's made overall this year while playing away from home.
The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard has converted 90.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 14.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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