Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the speediest pace team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Andrew Nembhard has made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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