Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Pacers's stellar 117.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Andrew Nembhard has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Pistons may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on threes (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making this a tough matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Andrew Nembhard figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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