Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 10, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2025 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 51.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
With respect to shooting, the Pacers's exceptional 121.6 points per game ranks 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this season while on his home court.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The matchup against Golden State is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (21.6%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce plays for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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