Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Andrew Nembhard has made 65.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 30.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court.
With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 115.6 points per game ranks 8th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

The Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Andrew Nembhard ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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