Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-107/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard lands in the 9th percentile for three-point prowess with a weak 19.3% rate this year.
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.5).
The Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 6.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Andrew Nembhard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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