Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Pacers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Andrew Nembhard has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has converted 20.6% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 10.6 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Bulls, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Andrew Nembhard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance across the board.

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