Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard comes in at the 24th percentile for 3-point ability with a feeble 23.6% rate this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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