Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard registers in the 81st percentile for scoring efficiency with a phenomenal 51.3% rate since the start of last season.
Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 38.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
When it comes to offense, the Pacers's excellent 121.2 points per game measures as the best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Nembhard lands in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Pacers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 7thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.