Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's poor 28.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home places worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
Andrew Nembhard should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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