Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 8:47 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has attempted 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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