Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Andrew Nembhard has converted 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Andrew Nembhard has tallied 30.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
When it comes to scoring, the Pacers's superb 122.6 points per game settles in as the highest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a good matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cam Thomas is a difficult one for three-point shots; when Thomas is on the visiting team and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a measly 32.7% of their three-point shots (17th percentile).
The Nets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Brooklyn may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad (least in the league).

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