Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 49.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Andrew Nembhard has sunk 39.4% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1).
The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cavaliers).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.8 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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