Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard places in the 83rd percentile for three-point efficiency with a very good 39.5% rate this year.
Andrew Nembhard has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The fastest pace home team in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

The rate of three-point shots converted against Cam Thomas has been remarkably low (32.2%) when he is on the road and facing fellow starting SGs this year (23rd percentile).
The Pacers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Brooklyn may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

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