Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 53.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.5% more than he's converted overall this season.
Andrew Nembhard has tallied 29.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.
In terms of shooting, the Pacers's excellent 123.3 points per game rates most in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.6).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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