Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 60.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.9% more than he's made in all games this season while at home.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 123.7 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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