Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 24.2% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's exceptional 123.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.5 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Charlotte may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court (9th-least in the league).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.

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