Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has made 45.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
In regard to scoring, the Pacers's exceptional 123.8 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
While on their home court, the Knicks have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA).
Andrew Nembhard stands to experience a decrease in output for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.