Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted overall this season while on his home court.
The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The Rockets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (7.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
As a team, the Pacers have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a lowly 19.5 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (12th-least in the league).

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