Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's made overall this year.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
When it comes to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 124.7 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (17.0).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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