Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 54.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 10.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season on his home court.
Andrew Nembhard has averaged 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Andrew Nembhard has made 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a tough matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games with a measly 20.7 foul shots per game.

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