Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has converted 51.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 16.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 125.7 points per game ranks strongest in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road.
The Pacers will likely see a spike in opportunities today from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has made a mere 66.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 79.5 mark last year.
Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production across the board.