Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 58.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 21.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
When it comes to offense, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.1 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year.
The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Andrew Nembhard has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 33.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
Andrew Nembhard will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.