Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 63.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Andrew Nembhard has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this season.
The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 shots made from the field per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a favorable matchup.
The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production across the board.

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