Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has converted 55.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 13.8 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Rockets (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Andrew Nembhard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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