Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made a terrific 46.7% of his three-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.7 rate last year.
With respect to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 128.8 points per game without the home court advantage settles in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (10.1).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
In contrast to last year's 79.5% clip, Andrew Nembhard's free-throw ability has regressed this year to 50.0%.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has attempted 25.8 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.