Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 44.4% rate, Andrew Nembhard's shooting effectiveness has risen this year to 53.5%.
The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one; they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (107.4).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Nembhard comes in at the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
This year, opposing teams have attempted 23.8 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Andrew Nembhard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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