Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 3rd-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season has been the Indiana Pacers.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard slots into the 23rd percentile for off the mark foul shot attempts, compiling a measly 0.2 per game since the start of last season.
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.9 free throws per game when the Celtics are the visiting team since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on the road since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Boston Celtics).
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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