Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 25th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.9).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard has sunk 62.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, -10.8% lower than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. New York is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are playing at home (12th-least in the NBA).