Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 more than he's converted in all games this season.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (16.7).
The matchup vs. Darius Garland is a hard one for field goals; when squaring off against opposing starting PGs this year, they have converted just 42.1% of their field goal attempts (7th percentile).
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

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