Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 83.0% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.
The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.7).
The matchup against the Bucks is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.