Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pistons is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game this year (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
The matchup against Detroit is a difficult one; when the Pistons have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (15.4).
On their home court, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has sunk 0.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.

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