Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.8%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
The matchup against Chicago is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game this year when the Bulls are at home (15th-least in the NBA).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production across the board.

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