Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 0.5 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game this year when the Spurs are on their home court (11th-least in the league).

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