Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Magic is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.6%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has made 87.5% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year.
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are at home (12th-least in the league).
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.