Andrew Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Andrew Nembhard will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (39.7%).
The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.
The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Celtics are the visiting squad (10th-least in the league).

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