Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has compiled 4.2 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pacers.
Andrew Nembhard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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