Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has put up 4.4 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this metric over this stretch of games.
Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Andrew Nembhard will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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