Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 4.2 assists per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
While on their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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