Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has totaled 3.9 assists per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
On their home court, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production across the board.

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