Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:43 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+132/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has compiled 4.1 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 86th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (86th percentile).
Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production across the board.

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