Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 4.1 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 86th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production across the board.

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