Andrew Nembhard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Andrew Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Nembhard

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Nembhard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 4.1 assists per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 86th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Nembhard has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (87th percentile).
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Nembhard will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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