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Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Andre Drummond Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Andre Drummond has made an impressive 10.0% of his three-point shots this year, significantly more than his 0.0 mark last year.
  • The rate of three-point shots converted against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (58.9%) when he is on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the 76ers.
  • As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the foul line of late: best in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, tallying 24.5 free throw attempts per game.
  • The showdown with Nikola Jokic in regard to getting to the charity stripe lands in only the 86th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond registers in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
  • The most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Among all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond registers in the 21st percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a bad 65.5% rate this year.
  • Andre Drummond will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.

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