Andre Drummond Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

NBA · Player Props

Andre Drummond

C · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 2:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Andre Drummond Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andre Drummond has made an impressive 10.0% of his three-point shots this year, significantly more than his 0.0 mark last year.
The rate of three-point shots converted against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (58.9%) when he is on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the 76ers.
As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the foul line of late: best in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, tallying 24.5 free throw attempts per game.
The showdown with Nikola Jokic in regard to getting to the charity stripe lands in only the 86th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond registers in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
The most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond registers in the 21st percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a bad 65.5% rate this year.
Andre Drummond will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.