Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Amir Coffey

NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season playing at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Amir Coffey has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Amir Coffey will likely see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the LA Clippers's subpar 110.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.6%).
The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

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