Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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Amir Coffey

NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has sunk a whopping 38.9% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 17.8 rate last year.
Amir Coffey has averaged 27.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Clippers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Amir Coffey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.2% more than he's converted overall this year on the road.
Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league as the away team over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
The 3rd-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Amir Coffey will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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