Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has made 60.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.7% more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Amir Coffey has tallied 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Amir Coffey has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 7.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
This matchup is a positive one for scoring; when the Bucks are playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged the 9th-most buckets per game in the NBA against them this year (43.0).
The 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Clippers.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Milwaukee Bucks are playing at home, the other team has attempted a monstrous 23.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (9th-most in the league).