Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Amir Coffey

NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has made 71.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 15.1% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing at home.
Amir Coffey has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
As it relates to offense, the LA Clippers's outstanding 117.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Clippers.

Favors Under

The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Lakers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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